HI COMPOSITE
4,847
+2.1% YTD
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432
+11.3% YTD
IMPRESSIONIST
892
−1.4% YTD
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R. Fuentes Capital
African modernists · building
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Vantage Collection
Impressionist → Latin American
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A. Thornton (pvt)
Digital exit · blue-chip return
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HI Composite Index
4,847
+2.1% YTD+0.4% MTH+0.1% TODAY
Contemporary
2,318
+5.2% YTD
Impressionist
892
−1.4% YTD
Ultra-Contemp
432
+11.3% YTD
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| Artist / Work | House | Hammer | vs Est. |
|---|
If It Came To Market
Hammer Index Speculative Valuations — Works Held in Museums, Private Collections or With Uncertain Status
Johannes Vermeer
Stolen · UnrecoveredThe Concert, c. 1664 — Isabella Stewart Gardner Museum, Boston. Stolen 18 March 1990.
Stolen alongside 12 other works in history's largest unsolved art theft. A three-figure interior at a harpsichord — among the finest surviving Vermeers — would command a record by an order of magnitude beyond any prior Vermeer sale. Title status makes legitimate sale extraordinarily complex. The closest modern comparable: Leonardo's Salvator Mundi at $450.3m, Christie's New York, November 2017.
Basis
Salvator Mundi precedent
Lucian Freud
Private · Status UncertainBenefits Supervisor Sleeping, 1995 — believed held by Roman Abramovich collection
Last sold by Christie's New York for $33.6m in 2008 — then the most expensive work by a living artist. UK and EU sanction-related asset freezes create ongoing legal ambiguity around title. Were it to emerge freely in 2026, the secondary Freud market has strengthened considerably — comparable Leigh Bowery canvases now clear £30m routinely.
Leonardo da Vinci (attr.)
Disputed AttributionLa Bella Principessa, c. 1496 — private Swiss collection
Attribution confirmed by Professor Martin Kemp (Oxford) and supported by fingerprint analysis; contested by a minority of scholars. Current discount reflects attribution uncertainty alone — demand for confirmed Leonardo is essentially unlimited at any price. Were attribution definitively established, the work would likely rival Salvator Mundi.
Caravaggio
Stolen · Mafia LinkNativity with St. Francis and St. Lawrence, c. 1600 — Oratory of San Lorenzo, Palermo, stolen October 1969
Multiple investigations have linked its movement to the Sicilian Mafia; occasional credible sightings have been reported and dismissed over five decades. Were it to emerge legally and in good condition — a near-impossibility — the sale would be the cultural event of a generation.
Cy Twombly Foundation
Foundation HeldUntitled (Bacchus) triptych, 2006 — Cy Twombly Foundation, Rome. Never separated. Never offered.
Individual Bacchus panels of comparable scale have cleared $35m at auction. The Foundation holds the complete triptych in its original configuration. A consignment to a major New York evening sale would anchor an entire season. No indication of deaccessioning to date.
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