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HI COMPOSITE
4,847
+2.1% YTD
S&P 500
GOLD USD/OZ
GBP/USD
ULTRA-CONTEMP
432
+11.3% YTD
IMPRESSIONIST
892
−1.4% YTD
Recent disposals & estate sales
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Market intelligence
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Artist movers · 30D
Investor signals
R. Fuentes Capital
African modernists · building
BUY
Vantage Collection
Impressionist → Latin American
ROT
A. Thornton (pvt)
Digital exit · blue-chip return
SELL
HI Composite Index
4,847
+2.1% YTD+0.4% MTH+0.1% TODAY
S&P 500
Gold USD/oz
GBP/USD
1Y
3Y
5Y
10Y
HI INDEX S&P 500 GOLD
Post-War
1,204
+3.8% YTD
Contemporary
2,318
+5.2% YTD
Impressionist
892
−1.4% YTD
Ultra-Contemp
432
+11.3% YTD
Top transactions this month
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Artist / WorkHouseHammervs Est.
Artist movers · 30D
Artist / WorkDateHouseEstimateHammervs Est.
Hammer prices inclusive of buyer's premium where publicly disclosed. Private treaty sales not included unless confirmed. Data sourced from public auction records.
If It Came To Market
Hammer Index Speculative Valuations — Works Held in Museums, Private Collections or With Uncertain Status
Johannes Vermeer
Stolen · Unrecovered
The Concert, c. 1664 — Isabella Stewart Gardner Museum, Boston. Stolen 18 March 1990.
Stolen alongside 12 other works in history's largest unsolved art theft. A three-figure interior at a harpsichord — among the finest surviving Vermeers — would command a record by an order of magnitude beyond any prior Vermeer sale. Title status makes legitimate sale extraordinarily complex. The closest modern comparable: Leonardo's Salvator Mundi at $450.3m, Christie's New York, November 2017.
Low Estimate
$180m
High Estimate
$400m+
Basis
Salvator Mundi precedent
Lucian Freud
Private · Status Uncertain
Benefits Supervisor Sleeping, 1995 — believed held by Roman Abramovich collection
Last sold by Christie's New York for $33.6m in 2008 — then the most expensive work by a living artist. UK and EU sanction-related asset freezes create ongoing legal ambiguity around title. Were it to emerge freely in 2026, the secondary Freud market has strengthened considerably — comparable Leigh Bowery canvases now clear £30m routinely.
Low Estimate
£55m
High Estimate
£95m
2008 Price
$33.6m
Leonardo da Vinci (attr.)
Disputed Attribution
La Bella Principessa, c. 1496 — private Swiss collection
Attribution confirmed by Professor Martin Kemp (Oxford) and supported by fingerprint analysis; contested by a minority of scholars. Current discount reflects attribution uncertainty alone — demand for confirmed Leonardo is essentially unlimited at any price. Were attribution definitively established, the work would likely rival Salvator Mundi.
Disputed Value
$20–40m
If Confirmed
$300–500m
Risk Rating
High
Caravaggio
Stolen · Mafia Link
Nativity with St. Francis and St. Lawrence, c. 1600 — Oratory of San Lorenzo, Palermo, stolen October 1969
Multiple investigations have linked its movement to the Sicilian Mafia; occasional credible sightings have been reported and dismissed over five decades. Were it to emerge legally and in good condition — a near-impossibility — the sale would be the cultural event of a generation.
Market Estimate
€100–200m
Likelihood
Very Low
Cultural Status
Priceless
Cy Twombly Foundation
Foundation Held
Untitled (Bacchus) triptych, 2006 — Cy Twombly Foundation, Rome. Never separated. Never offered.
Individual Bacchus panels of comparable scale have cleared $35m at auction. The Foundation holds the complete triptych in its original configuration. A consignment to a major New York evening sale would anchor an entire season. No indication of deaccessioning to date.
Per Panel Est.
$35m
Triptych
$130–160m
Likelihood
Unlikely
Private Disposals & Estate Sales
Family Office Deaccessions · Estate Dispersals · Gallery Acquisitions · Foundation Sales
Market Intelligence
Long-Form Analysis · Private Sales · Family Offices · Art as an Asset Class · Estate Planning
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